: My quick and dirty analysis...take with a grain of salt, and I
: follow the Carrera market more closely than Autavia

: Best Bargain: Lot 11, Carrera Dato 3147N Indy Dial, 32,500 CHF,
: brought potentially only a 100% premium to a standard 3147N,
: after we saw the Christies Indy Autavia realize nearly $200,000
: USD and the Rarebirds 3147N Indy listed at 98,000 EURO (did this
: sell?)

Jeff,

No real bone to pick with what you say. Who knows what a 3147 Dato with an Indy (Wings and Wheels) dial is worth. The Rarebirds watch did not sell. I think we might all agree that the Autavia at $200,000 was an aberration. The example from the recent auction looked very polished to me....at least from the side view photo. I offered one on Chronotrader with pretty good Indy provenance in very nice un-touched/sharp edged shape for way less than the Rarebirds version. Hodinkee even featured the one I offered on their cover for a day. I got no offers. I think the fact that several of the original dials for both the Autavia and Carrera have been sold lately make these worth a bit less than previously. I would think that a provable original might be worth more but it doesn't seem so.

They are rare watches...but I was not surprised by the lower price for a shiny/polished version, albeit with a nice dial.

JohnCote