Hi guys, thanks for the feedback..and yes for the fruitful discussion.

As indicated there is a sort of pattern I have seen the first time 11 september 2001 (super collectors wactehs have been brought on the market in never seen quality: I still remember the 600 PLOPROF in the plastic sliding box....first and last I have seen), repeating than in the crisis in 2008 (drop of watch prices : remember the OMEGA dip was the start of all) and now this pattern will be the same.

Lets see where we end: Jeff I hope you remember my prediction of people that will go on the street and start fighting some years ago. all here did shout on me...and I simply bought ...gold....and now we have exact this situation....even my wife agreed that the prediction was pretty sharp....and this is sure not the end what we see.

So my predition is the dip will be long...especially for watches....as watches (and also gold) you finally can NOT eat.....this does not mean you need to sell now, but you can be happy when you have purchased low....

ape

: OK guys after all these bank and invetsor and also paper guys did
: talk us into a recession, I do the wave really comming.

: so do we already see affects? Here are my obsevations of the last
: weeks

: 1. Naturally people tend to sell 2nd row watches as well as all
: watches they dont want to keep:

: - so do we see all these heuer helmetes sudenly on the markets?:
: YES !
: - and are the many automatic carreras and Vics on the market?: YES
: !
: - do we sudenly see on the OTD forum we have more sales of
: non-Heuers?: YES YES !

: 2. As you first sell the group above, people tend to NOT to sell so
: hard the core of their collection

: - so lower number of Sifferts (apart from rookies who think its a
: watch from section 1.)? - YES nothing seen from collectors !
: - lower number of real high end Heuers: Monacos especially? YES
: YES!

: ------------------------

: So strategy this time ?

: YES collecting now can be a lot of fun BUT I expect a much longer
: dip now....may be a sort of dip that step by step further sinks.
: This means be prepared to longer keep your collection (the core)
: and be prepared that selling (of category 1.) watches and stuff
: might be harder in the coming times. And yes I expect (again) a
: price dip and on the other hand a relaxation back to increased
: prices afterwards.

: ------------------------

: So what do you think and hope you follow these indicators with me
: so we can see if there is some pattern for the future

: rgds
: ape