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Re: . . . and If You HAD to Estimate a Cash Price ? ? ?

note, this seller will drop to under $5K without much negotiations... so i dont think he knows the true value

: Ahh - gun to the head time , hmmm , i have a crafty sidestep here
: ;-)

: You can look at this issue from very different perspectives ( well
: three really )

: 1. Cold, clinical & factual - how much would a decent bezel
: improve the hammer price of the 1st execution Autavia Mr.X is
: considering to sell at the upcoming Phillips/Christies/Bonhams
: auction.

: 2. Mr.Y is one of the lucky few that have an early Autavia
: screwback HOWEVER his example is missing a bezel

: 3. Collector, enthusiast, WIS - Mr.Z has been crazy about this
: model for years & regrets not getting one 8-10 years ago
: before the "hype". Mr.Z has stretched his budget to
: afford a model with a scuffed up example of a bezel & knows
: that an improved bezel will relieve his OCD & ignite his
: love for the watch - HOWEVER , Mr.Z will never re-coup the price
: of the bezel as HE WILL NEVER SELL THE WATCH once its in his
: hands.

: In the above scenerio i beleive that Mr.Z has a maximum price we
: will call (M)
: Mr.Y would probably be willing to pay 2 times the price (M) that
: Mr.Z was willing to pay
: Mr.X would probably be willing to pay 4 times the price (M) that
: Mr.z was willing to pay

: And now my final point that may very well shoot my own theory down
: - all the above is from the buyers persective only ! Every
: seller that has the desirable bezel is quite naturally trying to
: sell his bezel to Mr.X to maximise his price but Mr.X customers
: are probably quite thin on the ground & its more than likely
: a mixture of Mr. Y & Z customers are the ones prepared to
: pay for such a rare item.
: Market forces will determine the final price.

: The reason i have sidestepped solid numbers is i have been privy to
: some secret bezel sales & trades of late & dont want to
: pass judgement, excite or disappoint those i know that have been
: involved.

: - Darren

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