My gut feeling is that there is a big spike up in prices coming up in the near future before any correction. The same thing is happening with vintage Breitling. A collapse is unlikely. We shall see.....

: ... look to the 50s first. And if it doesn't have to be a
: chronograph, even better - you can still pick up the little
: automatics for a song from time to time. And some of those have
: interesting complications too, moonphase or alarms for example.
: Even the chronos can still be hard not too expensively
: sometimes, although there is an increasing trend to call every
: chrono from the 30s onwards a pre-Carrera and mark it up
: accordingly. Which is incorrect really.

: Moving on to the 60s, look for the so-called "economy"
: watches. No model name on the dial usually means less of a
: ticket price, though again some sellers are trying to push the
: connections with the named watches and bumping up the economy
: prices. Sometimes they have base metal chrome-plated cases, but
: others are steel, and the movements and often much of the dial
: furniture are the same as the better-known watches.

: Move on to the 70s and you can look for the smaller run named
: watches. Jarama, Verona, Monza can be hard to find, but usually
: run less than an equivalent Carrera. And later on you have the
: quartzes and digitals - a Carrera Twin might not be everyone's
: bag with the LCD display, but a Jack Heuer-run Heuer saw fit to
: call the model a Carrera so who are we to argue? And I have four
: quartz-based Carreras and not one of them has cost over €300.

: All that said, you're going to be running a lot higher than I was
: when I started. Just the way the Heuer collecting world is now,
: I'm afraid.